CONVOLUTION AND COPULAS: THEORY AND PRACTICE
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- April 15, 2015
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This technical white paper explains the basics of Convolution Theory and Copula Theory as they apply to probability distributions and stochastic modeling, both in theory and practice. It attempts to … Continue Reading →
Markov Chains
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- November 5, 2014
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Theory A Markov chain exists when the probability of a future state depends on a previous state and when linked together forms a chain that reverts to a long-run steady … Continue Reading →
Neural Network and Combinatorial Fuzzy Logic Forecasting Methodologies
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- November 5, 2014
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Neural Network The term neural network is often used to refer to a network or circuit of biological neurons, while modern usage of the term often refers to artificial neural … Continue Reading →
Distributional Analysis Tool
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- October 28, 2014
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The distributional analysis tool is a statistical probability tool in Risk Simulator that is rather useful in a variety of settings. It can be used to compute the probability density … Continue Reading →
Percentile Distributional Fitting Tool
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- October 21, 2014
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The Percentile Distributional Fitting tool (Figure 1) is an alternate way of finding and fitting the appropriate probability distributions to use in a simulation. There are several related tools and … Continue Reading →
Distribution Charts and Tables: Probability Distribution Tool
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- October 21, 2014
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Distributional Charts and Tables is a Probability Distribution tool that is a very powerful and fast module used for generating distribution charts and tables (Figures 1 through 4). Note that … Continue Reading →
Data Diagnostic
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- October 21, 2014
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The regression and forecasting diagnostic tool is the advanced analytical tool in Risk Simulator used to determine the econometric properties of your data. The diagnostics include checking the data for … Continue Reading →
Statistical Analysis Tool
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- October 15, 2014
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Another very powerful tool in Risk Simulator is the Statistical Analysis tool, which determines the statistical properties of the data. The diagnostics run include checking the data for various statistical … Continue Reading →
Tornado and Static Sensitivity
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- October 15, 2014
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Theory One of the powerful simulation tools available in Risk Simulator is tornado analysis––it captures the static impacts of each variable on the outcome of the model; that is, the … Continue Reading →
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