{"id":570,"date":"2014-11-12T04:36:45","date_gmt":"2014-11-12T04:36:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/?p=570"},"modified":"2014-11-21T17:17:18","modified_gmt":"2014-11-21T17:17:18","slug":"j-curve-and-s-curve-forecasts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/j-curve-and-s-curve-forecasts\/","title":{"rendered":"J-Curve and S-Curve Forecasts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Theory<\/strong><br \/>\nThe J curve, or exponential growth curve, is one where the growth of the next period depends on the current period\u2019s level and the increase is exponential. This phenomenon means that over time, the values will increase significantly, from one period to another. This model is typically used in forecasting biological growth and chemical reactions over time. The S curve, or logistic growth curve, starts off like a J curve, with exponential growth rates. Over time, the environment becomes saturated (e.g., market saturation, competition, overcrowding), the growth slows, and the forecast value eventually ends up at a saturation or maximum level. The S-curve model is typically used in forecasting market share or sales growth of a new product from market introduction until maturity and decline, population dynamics, growth of bacterial cultures, and other naturally occurring variables.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Procedure<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Start Excel and select Risk Simulator | Forecasting | JS Curves.<\/li>\n<li>Select the J- or S-curve type, enter the required input assumptions (see Figures 1 and 2 for examples), and click OK to run the model and report.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Untitled-14.png\" alt=\"Untitled-1\" width=\"2171\" height=\"2759\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-571\" srcset=\"https:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Untitled-14.png 2171w, https:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Untitled-14-236x300.png 236w, https:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Untitled-14-805x1024.png 805w, https:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Untitled-14-165x210.png 165w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2171px) 100vw, 2171px\" \/><\/p>\n<div style=\"padding-bottom:20px; padding-top:10px;\" class=\"hupso-share-buttons\"><!-- Hupso Share Buttons - http:\/\/www.hupso.com\/share\/ --><a class=\"hupso_toolbar\" href=\"http:\/\/www.hupso.com\/share\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.hupso.com\/share\/buttons\/share-medium.png\" style=\"border:0px; padding-top:5px; float:left;\" alt=\"Share Button\"\/><\/a><script type=\"text\/javascript\">var hupso_services_t=new Array(\"Twitter\",\"Facebook\",\"Google Plus\",\"Linkedin\");var hupso_background_t=\"#EAF4FF\";var hupso_border_t=\"#66CCFF\";var hupso_toolbar_size_t=\"medium\";var hupso_image_folder_url = \"http:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/hupso-share-buttons-for-twitter-facebook-google\/img\/services\/\";var hupso_url_t=\"\";var hupso_title_t=\"J-Curve and S-Curve Forecasts\";<\/script><script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/static.hupso.com\/share\/js\/share_toolbar.js\"><\/script><!-- Hupso Share Buttons --><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Theory The J curve, or exponential growth curve, is one where the growth of the next period depends on the current period\u2019s level and the increase is exponential. This phenomenon &hellip; <a class=\"readmore\" href=\"https:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/j-curve-and-s-curve-forecasts\/\">Continue Reading &amp;rarr;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[130,128,133,134],"class_list":["post-570","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","tag-forecasting","tag-forecasts","tag-j-curve","tag-s-curve"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/570","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=570"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/570\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":572,"href":"https:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/570\/revisions\/572"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=570"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=570"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rovdownloads.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=570"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}