The Pitfalls of Forecasting, Part 2

  • By Admin
  • August 27, 2014
  • Comments Off on The Pitfalls of Forecasting, Part 2

As noted in “The Pitfalls of Forecasting, Part 1,” forecasting is a balance between art and science. Using Risk Simulator can take care of the science, but it is almost … Continue Reading →


The Pitfalls of Forecasting, Part 1

  • By Admin
  • August 27, 2014
  • Comments Off on The Pitfalls of Forecasting, Part 1

Regression Assumptions The following six assumptions are the requirements for a regression analysis to work: The relationship between the dependent and independent variables is linear. The expected value of the … Continue Reading →


The Pitfalls of Forecasting, Part 4

  • By Admin
  • August 18, 2014
  • Comments Off on The Pitfalls of Forecasting, Part 4

Scatter Plots and Behavior of the Data Series (continued) As noted in “The Pitfalls of Forecasting, Part 3,” other than being good modeling practice to create scatter plots prior to … Continue Reading →


Logit, Probit, and Tobit: Limited Dependent Variables

  • By Admin
  • August 18, 2014
  • Comments Off on Logit, Probit, and Tobit: Limited Dependent Variables

Theory The term limited dependent variables describes the situation where the dependent variable contains data that are limited in scope and range, such as binary responses (0 or 1) and … Continue Reading →